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A Strategy for a Routine Pattern Informatics Operation Applied to Taiwan.

Authors :
Chang, Ling-Yun
Chen, Chien-chih
Wu, Yi-Hsuan
Lin, Tzu-Wei
Chang, Chien-Hsin
Kan, Chih-Wen
Source :
Pure & Applied Geophysics; Jan2016, Vol. 173 Issue 1, p235-244, 10p
Publication Year :
2016

Abstract

We systematically investigated precursory seismic patterns using the pattern informatics (PI) method and suggest an operable procedure for making PI maps for all seasons, in the context of earthquake forecasting. We examined the PI patterns before several inland earthquakes with magnitudes larger than 6, which occurred between 2001 and 2010 in Taiwan. We fixed a cutoff magnitude and a change interval, which is the time span used to calculate the seismicity change. Our results show that locations with high PI anomalies are typically associated with large earthquakes when the cutoff magnitude is 3.2 and the change interval is 4 years. Therefore, the PI method can be utilized as a routine forecasting tool with regular updates, such performing the PI calculation every season. We also conducted random tests, the results of which indicate a significant difference between large events and random, hypothetical events. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Details

Language :
English
ISSN :
00334553
Volume :
173
Issue :
1
Database :
Complementary Index
Journal :
Pure & Applied Geophysics
Publication Type :
Academic Journal
Accession number :
112294496
Full Text :
https://doi.org/10.1007/s00024-015-1079-9