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[A method for stratifying malariogenic territories in order to construct a system of mathematical models of the prevalence of malaria. 1].

Authors :
Sergiev VP
Boev BV
Orlov VS
Baranova AM
Sabgaĭda TP
Ezhov MN
Source :
Meditsinskaia parazitologiia i parazitarnye bolezni [Med Parazitol (Mosk)] 1994 Jul-Sep (3), pp. 8-13.
Publication Year :
1994

Abstract

The paper describes procedures for stratifying malariogenic areas that are homogeneous in the development pattern for epidemic stratum rises, which will be used to design a set of mathematical malaria spread models. The first stage of the procedures is to stratify P. falciparum and P. vivax malaria on phase planes. The morbidity rate of P. falciparum and P. vivax malaria was analyzed in the north-western areas of India in 1975-1990. Eighty-two observations provided 4 types of phase curves for tropic malaria, which form a polygon, a loop polygon, U-shaped ones and those without any specific signs and 4 groups of phase curves for P. vivax malaria and the U-shaped phase curve with a loop for P. vivax malaria. It is shown that there is a steady-state pattern of phase curve changes in 71%. It is suggested that the pattern of a phase curve can be a diagnostic characterization of the given area.

Details

Language :
Russian
ISSN :
0025-8326
Issue :
3
Database :
MEDLINE
Journal :
Meditsinskaia parazitologiia i parazitarnye bolezni
Publication Type :
Academic Journal
Accession number :
7799863