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Understanding the oscillations of an epidemic due to vaccine hesitancy.

Authors :
Morciglio A
Zia RKP
Hyman JM
Jiang Y
Source :
Mathematical biosciences and engineering : MBE [Math Biosci Eng] 2024 Aug 09; Vol. 21 (8), pp. 6829-6846.
Publication Year :
2024

Abstract

Vaccine hesitancy threatens to reverse the progress in tackling vaccine-preventable diseases. We used an $ SIS $ model with a game theory model for vaccination and parameters from the COVID-19 pandemic to study how vaccine hesitancy impacts epidemic dynamics. The system showed three asymptotic behaviors: total rejection of vaccinations, complete acceptance, and oscillations. With increasing fear of infection, stable endemic states become periodic oscillations. Our results suggest that managing fear of infection relative to vaccination is vital to successful mass vaccinations.

Details

Language :
English
ISSN :
1551-0018
Volume :
21
Issue :
8
Database :
MEDLINE
Journal :
Mathematical biosciences and engineering : MBE
Publication Type :
Academic Journal
Accession number :
39483095
Full Text :
https://doi.org/10.3934/mbe.2024299