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Hybrid attention-based deep neural networks for short-term wind power forecasting using meteorological data in desert regions.

Authors :
Belletreche M
Bailek N
Abotaleb M
Bouchouicha K
Zerouali B
Guermoui M
Kuriqi A
Alharbi AH
Khafaga DS
El-Shimy M
El-Kenawy EM
Source :
Scientific reports [Sci Rep] 2024 Sep 19; Vol. 14 (1), pp. 21842. Date of Electronic Publication: 2024 Sep 19.
Publication Year :
2024

Abstract

This study introduces an optimized hybrid deep learning approach that leverages meteorological data to improve short-term wind energy forecasting in desert regions. Over a year, various machine learning and deep learning models have been tested across different wind speed categories, with multiple performance metrics used for evaluation. Hyperparameter optimization for the LSTM and Conv-Dual Attention Long Short-Term Memory (Conv-DA-LSTM) architectures was performed. A comparison of the techniques indicates that the deep learning methods consistently outperform the classical techniques, with Conv-DA-LSTM yielding the best overall performance with a clear margin. This method obtained the lowest error rates (RMSE: 71.866) and the highest level of accuracy (R <superscript>2</superscript> : 0.93). The optimization clearly works for higher wind speeds, achieving a remarkable improvement of 22.9%. When we look at the monthly performance, all the months presented at least some level of consistent enhancement (RRMSE reductions from 1.6 to 10.2%). These findings highlight the potential of advanced deep learning techniques in enhancing wind energy forecasting accuracy, particularly in challenging desert environments. The hybrid method developed in this study presents a promising direction for improving renewable energy management. This allows for more efficient resource allocation and improves wind resource predictability.<br /> (© 2024. The Author(s).)

Details

Language :
English
ISSN :
2045-2322
Volume :
14
Issue :
1
Database :
MEDLINE
Journal :
Scientific reports
Publication Type :
Academic Journal
Accession number :
39294219
Full Text :
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-73076-6