Variation in mortality following hip fracture across the Asia Pacific region: Systematic review and proportional meta-analysis.

Objective: To determine country/region-specific mortality (in-hospital, 30-day and 1-year) following hip fracture across the Asia Pacific region.
Methods: Five databases MEDLINE, PUBMED, EMBASE, Web of Science and the Cochrane Library were searched to identify studies that reported mortality following hospitalisation for low-trauma hip fracture in adults aged ≥50 years with data from 2010 to 30 September 2021. There were no restrictions on study design or language. Pooled mortality estimates for countries/regions with ≥2 studies were calculated using random-effects models.
Results: In total 244 studies were included in the meta-analysis. 123 studies (1,382,810 patients, 13 countries/regions) reported in-hospital mortality which ranged from 1.4 % in Japan [95 %CI 1.2-1.7], Singapore [95 %CI 1.0-1.6], China [95 %CI 0.8-2.3] and Hong Kong SAR [95 %CI 0.8-2.6] to 5.5 % [95 %CI 4.1-7.2] in New Zealand. 92 studies (628,450 patients, 13 countries/regions) reported 30-day mortality which ranged from 1.2 % in Japan [95 %CI 0.9-1.5] and Thailand [95 %CI 0.7-2.0] to 7.4 % [95 %CI 7.0-7.8] in Australia. 142 studies (1,139,752 patients, 14 countries/regions) reported 1-year mortality which ranged from 10.8 % [95 %CI 9.6-12.1] in Singapore to 23.3 % [95 %CI 22.3-24.5] in Australia and 23.8 % in New Zealand.
Conclusion: There is substantial variation in mortality across the Asia Pacific region. Short-term mortality rates in Asian countries, notably Japan and Singapore, are up to four-fold lower than for Australia and New Zealand. This difference, although less marked, is sustained at 1-year with a two-fold lower mortality rate in Asia. This meta-analysis is the first to delineate these differences, further studies are required to understand the reasons for this variation.
Competing Interests: Declaration of competing interest Lara Harvey, Narelle Payne, Azriel Tan, Jing Zhang, Yong Chang Lai, Morag Taylor, Elizabeth Armstrong, Catherine McVeigh, Anna Stefanie Mikolaizak, Rismah Hairu, Taylor Scott, Madeleine Bishop, and Jacqueline Close declare that they have no conflict of interest.
(Copyright © 2024. Published by Elsevier B.V.)