Unravelling the impact of soil data quality on species distribution models of temperate forest woody plants.

Soil properties influence plant physiology and growth, playing a fundamental role in shaping species niches in temperate forest ecosystems. Here, we investigated the impact of soil data quality on the performance of species distribution models (SDMs) of 41 woody plant species in Swiss forests. We compared models based on measured soil properties with those based on digitally mapped soil properties on regional (Swiss Forest Soil Maps) and global scales (SoilGrids). We first calibrated topo-climatic SDMs with measured soil data and plant species presences and absences from mature temperate forest stand plots. We developed further models using the same soil predictors, but with values extracted from digital soil maps at the nearest neighbouring plots of the Swiss National Forestry Inventory. The predictive power of SDMs without soil information compared to those with soil information, as well as measured soil information vs digitally mapped, was evaluated with metrics of model performance and variable contribution. On average, models with measured and digitally mapped soil properties performed significantly better than those without soil information. SDMs based on measured and Swiss Forest Soil Maps showed higher performance, especially for species with an 'extreme' niche position (e.g., preference for high or low pH), compared to those using SoilGrids. Nevertheless, if no regional soil maps are available, SoilGrids should be tested for their potential to improve SDMs. Moreover, among the tested soil predictors, pH, and clay content of the topsoil layers most improved the predictive power of SDMs for forest woody plants. In conclusion, we demonstrate the value of regional soil maps for predicting the distribution of woody species across strong environmental gradients in temperate forests. The improved accuracy of SDMs and insights into drivers of distribution may support forest managers in strategies supporting e.g. biodiversity conservation, or climate adaptation planning.
Competing Interests: Declaration of competing interest The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper.
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