NLR Outperforms Low Hemoglobin and High Platelet Count as Predictive and Prognostic Biomarker in Metastatic Renal Cell Carcinoma Treated with Immune Checkpoint Inhibitors.

Background: Reliable biomarkers in renal cell carcinoma (RCC) remain elusive. While several markers have been shown to be associated with prognosis, and may aid in risk assessment, predictive biomarkers of response to immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) have not been established. Previous studies have shown that a high pretreatment neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) is a negative prognostic factor in RCC. However, a clinically useful cut-off for the predictive and prognostic value of NLR has not been well defined.
Methods: We conducted a retrospective analysis of 132 patients with previously untreated metastatic clear cell RCC (ccRCC) who received first line ICI-based therapy. ICI-based therapy included anti-PD-1/PD-L1 alone or in combination with anti-CTLA-4 or VEGF-TKI. Platelet, haemoglobin, neutrophil and lymphocyte counts were collected prior to treatment and at 12-weeks after treatment initiation. Radiologic response at 12-weeks and overall survival (OS) data was also collected.
Results: Low haemoglobin, high platelet count, and NLR ≥3 were statistically significant negative predictive biomarkers when assessed at 12-weeks, but not at baseline. Median OS was shorter in patients with low haemoglobin (20.3 months vs. 51.6 months, P = .009), high platelet count (14.3 months vs. 43.8 months, P = .003), and NLR ≥ 3 (17.5 months vs. 40.3 months, P < .001) at 12-weeks. In an IMDC-risk adjusted analysis, only NLR ≥3 at 12-weeks remained statistically significant (OR of 2.11, P = .003) A dynamic change towards lower absolute NLR overtime was associated with longer OS. In patients who had baseline NLR ≥ 3, those who achieved NLR < 3 at 12-weeks demonstrated significant longer median OS compared to those whose NLR remained persistently ≥ 3 (40.3 months vs. 14.7 months, P = .004).
Conclusion: NLR ≥3, low haemoglobin and elevated platelet count after 12-weeks of ICI-based first line therapy were negatively prognostic and predictive in patients with metastatic RCC. Normalization of NLR in patients with baseline elevation was associated with longer median OS and response to therapy. These results suggest that monitoring of routine haematologic biomarkers during therapy may provide important predictive and prognostic information, beyond what is available with baseline risk assessment scoring systems.
(Copyright © 2024 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)