HbA1c and systolic blood pressure variation to predict all-cause mortality in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus.

Background: Glycated hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) variation or blood pressure (BP) variation was known to be an independent predictor of all-cause mortality in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). This study aimed to investigate the combined effect of HbA1c and systolic blood pressure (SBP) variation on all-cause mortality and if there was a gender difference in patients with T2DM.
Methods: Patients with T2DM who had at least three HbA1c, SBP measurements within 12-24 months during 2001-2007 were included. Coefficient of variation (CV) was used to evaluate variation. The 75th percentile of HbA1c-CV and SBP-CV were set as a cutoff to define high and low variation. Hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals were estimated using Cox proportional hazard models.
Results: A total of 2744 patients were included, of whom 769 died during the 11.7 observation years. The associated risk of all-cause mortality was 1.22 [1.01- 1.48], P = 0.044, for low HbA1c-CV & high SBP-CV; 1.28 [1.04-1.57], P = 0.020, for high HbA1c-CV & low SBP-CV; and 1.68 [1.31-2.17], P < 0.001, for high HbA1c-CV & high SBP-CV. The associated risk remained unchanged in either males or females older than 50 years old, although there is only numerically higher for high HbA1c-CV & low SBP-CV in females older than 50 years old.
Conclusions: Both HbA1c and SBP variation were significant predictors of all-cause mortality in patients with T2DM. The combined effect was higher than either alone and no gender difference in patients older than 50 years old.
Competing Interests: Declaration of Competing Interest The authors declare no conflict of interest.
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