Impact of Clinical and Endoscopic Features on the Development of Metachronous Colorectal Advanced Serrated Lesions.

Background and Aims: High-risk adenomas predict metachronous advanced adenomatous neoplasia. Limited data exist on predictors of metachronous advanced serrated lesions (mASLs). We analyzed clinical and endoscopic predictors of mASLs.
Methods: In this retrospective cohort study, adults with >1 outpatient colonoscopy between 2008 and 2019 at a tertiary center were included. Serrated lesions (SLs) included sessile SLs (SSLs), traditional serrated adenomas (TSAs), and hyperplastic polyps (HPs). Patient and endoscopic characteristics were obtained using electronic medical records. Five-year cumulative incidence of mASL (HP ≥10 mm, SSL ≥10 mm or with dysplasia, any TSA) and factors associated with mASL were evaluated using Kaplan-Meier estimates and Cox proportional hazards models.
Results: A total of 4990 patients were included and 45.4% were women. Mean age was 60.9 ± 9.2 years and median follow-up time was 3.7 years. Female sex and active smoking were associated with mASL. Endoscopically, any SSL and TSA were associated with mASL. The 5-year cumulative incidence for mASL was 26% (95% confidence interval [CI], 18%-32%) for SSL ≥10 mm, 17% (95% CI, 3.5%-29%) for HP ≥10 mm, 21% (95% CI, 0%-42%) for 3-4 SSLs <10 mm, 18% (95% CI, 0%-38%) for TSA, and 27% (95% CI, 3.6%-45%) for SSL with low-grade dysplasia. Baseline synchronous nonadvanced SL and nonadvanced adenoma were not associated with mASL.
Conclusions: Our data support current recommendations for a 3-year surveillance interval in patients with baseline SSL ≥10 mm, SSL with dysplasia, and TSA. A 3-year interval may be more appropriate than 3-5 years for patients with baseline HP ≥10 mm or 3-4 SSLs <10 mm. Patients with synchronous nonadvanced SLs and adenomas do not appear to be at increased risk of mASL.
(Copyright © 2024 AGA Institute. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)