Survival Risk Scores for Real-Life Relapsed/Refractory Multiple Myeloma Patients Receiving Elotuzumab or Carfilzomib In Combination With Lenalidomide and Dexamethasone as Salvage Therapy: Analysis of 919 Cases Outside Clinical Trials.

The present study aimed to develop two survival risk scores (RS) for overall survival (OS, SRS ^KRd/EloRd ) and progression-free survival (PFS, PRS ^KRd/EloRd ) in 919 relapsed/refractory multiple myeloma (RRMM) patients who received carfilzomib, lenalidomide, and dexamethasone (KRd)/elotuzumab, lenalidomide, and dexamethasone (EloRd). The median OS was 35.4 months, with no significant difference between the KRd arm versus the EloRd arm. In the multivariate analysis, advanced ISS (HR = 1.31; P = 0.025), interval diagnosis-therapy (HR = 1.46; P = 0.001), number of previous lines of therapies (HR = 1.96; P < 0.0001), older age (HR = 1.72; P < 0.0001), and prior lenalidomide exposure (HR = 1.30; P = 0.026) remained independently associated with death. The median PFS was 20.3 months, with no difference between the two strategies. The multivariate model identified a significant progression/death risk increase for ISS III (HR = 1.37; P = 0.002), >3 previous lines of therapies (HR = 1.67; P < 0.0001), older age (HR = 1.64; P < 0.0001), and prior lenalidomide exposure (HR = 1.35; P = 0.003). Three risk SRS ^KRd/EloRd categories were generated: low-risk (134 cases, 16.5%), intermediate-risk (467 cases, 57.3%), and high-risk categories (213 cases, 26.2%). The 1- and 2-year OS probability rates were 92.3% and 83.8% for the low-risk (HR = 1, reference category), 81.1% and 60.6% (HR = 2.73; P < 0.0001) for the intermediate-risk, and 65.5% and 42.5% (HR = 4.91; P < 0.0001) for the high-risk groups, respectively. Notably, unlike the low-risk group, which did not cross the median timeline, the OS median values were 36.6 and 18.6 months for the intermediate- and high-risk cases, respectively. Similarly, three PRS ^KRd/EloRd risk categories were engendered. Based on such grouping, 338 (41.5%) cases were allocated in the low-, 248 (30.5%) in the intermediate-, and 228 (28.0%) in the high-risk groups. The 1- and 2-year PFS probability rates were 71.4% and 54.5% for the low-risk (HR = 1, reference category), 68.9% and 43.7% (HR = 1.95; P < 0.0001) for the intermediate-risk, and 48.0% and 27.1% (HR = 3.73; P < 0.0001) for the high-risk groups, respectively. The PFS median values were 29.0, 21.0, and 11.7 months for the low-, intermediate-, and high-risk cases. This analysis showed 2.7- and 4.9-fold increased risk of death for the intermediate- and high-risk cases treated with KRd/EloRd as salvage therapy. The combined progression/death risks of the two categories were increased 1.3- and 2.2-fold compared to the low-risk group. In conclusion, SRS ^KRd/EloRd and PRS ^KRd/EloRd may represent accessible and globally applicable models in daily clinical practice and ultimately represent a prognostic tool for RRMM patients who received KRd or EloRd.
Competing Interests: PT received honoraria from Bristol-Myers Squibb, Takeda, Janssen, Celgene, Amgen; LP received honoraria from Celgene, Takeda, Janssen, Amgen; EZ has received a speaker honorarium from Bristol-Myers Squibb, Takeda, Janssen, Celgene, Amgen; MC has received a speaker honorarium from Adaptive Biotechnology, Amgen, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Celgene, Janssen, Takeda, AbbVie, GlaxoSmithKline and he is a member of committee of these Company; CC and FDR received honoraria from Amgen. CC, and FDR received honoraria from Celgene. The remaining authors declare that the research was conducted in the absence of any commercial or financial relationships that could be construed as a potential conflict of interest.
(Copyright © 2022 Morabito, Zamagni, Conticello, Pavone, Palmieri, Bringhen, Galli, Mangiacavalli, Derudas, Rossi, Ria, Catalano, Tacchetti, Mele, Vincelli, Martino, Vigna, Bruzzese, Mendicino, Botta, Mele, Pantani, Rocchi, Garibaldi, Cascavilla, Ballanti, Tripepi, Frigeri, Falcone, Cangialosi, Reddiconto, Farina, Barone, Rizzello, Iaccino, Mimmi, Curci, Gamberi, Musto, De Stefano, Musso, Petrucci, Offidani, Di Raimondo, Boccadoro, Cavo, Neri and Gentile.)