Spatial and temporal patterns of white spot disease in Rayong Province, Thailand, from october 2015 to september 2018.

This study aimed to analyze the spatial and temporal patterns of white spot disease (WSD) in shrimp farms in Rayong Province, Thailand, between October 2015 and September 2018. The longitudinal data of all active shrimp farms were collected and categorized into two groups: cases and non-cases. A space-time permutation scan, epidemic curve, and time-series analysis were used to evaluate the spatiotemporal patterns. We assessed a total of 1126 ponds across 176 farms in two districts (Klaeng and Mueang Rayong) and identified three significant (P < 0.05) clusters of WSD cases. The biggest cluster encompassed 21 geographical coordinates. This cluster had a radius of 1.14 km and occurred between January 31, 2017, and February 28, 2017. The epidemic curve showed that the biggest outbreak peaked from December 2017 to February 2018. In the time-series analysis, the highest probability of actual WSD cases was at the beginning of each calendar year, consistent with the prominent high probability recorded in WSD forecasts. Our analysis presents the interaction between hotspot areas and time period. These results should help the relevant authorities implement appropriate surveillance programs and control measures to limit the occurrence and transmission of WSD.
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