Risk of major labour-related complications for pregnancies progressing to 42 weeks or beyond.

Background: Post-term gestation beyond 41 ⁺⁶ completed weeks of gestation is known to be associated with a sharp increase in the risk of stillbirth and perinatal mortality. However, the risk of common adverse outcomes related to labour, such as shoulder dystocia and post-partum haemorrhage for those delivering at this advanced gestation, remains poorly characterised. The objective of this study was to examine the risk of adverse, labour-related outcomes for women progressing to 42 weeks gestation or beyond, compared with those giving birth at 39 completed weeks.
Methods: We performed a state-wide cohort study using routinely collected perinatal data in Australia. Comparing the two gestation cohorts, we examined the adjusted relative risk of clinically significant labour-related adverse outcomes, including macrosomia (≥ 4500 at birth), post-partum haemorrhage (≥1000 ml), shoulder dystocia, 3rd or 4th degree perineal tear and unplanned caesarean section. Parity, maternal age and mode of birth were adjusted for using logistic regression.
Results: The study cohort included 91,314 women who birthed at 39 completed weeks and 4317 at ≥42 completed weeks. Compared to 39 weeks gestation, those giving birth ≥42 weeks gestation had an adjusted relative risk (aRR) of 1.85 (95% CI 1.55-2.20) for post-partum haemorrhage following vaginal birth, 2.29 (95% CI 1.89-2.78) following instrumental birth and 1.44 (95% CI 1.17-1.78) following emergency caesarean section; 1.43 (95% CI 1.16-1.77) for shoulder dystocia (for non-macrosomic babies); and 1.22 (95% CI 1.03-1.45) for 3rd or 4th degree perineal tear (all women). The adjusted relative risk of giving birth to a macrosomic baby was 10.19 (95% CI 8.26-12.57) among nulliparous women and 4.71 (95% CI 3.90-5.68) among multiparous women. The risk of unplanned caesarean section was 1.96 (95% CI 1.86-2.06) following any labour and 1.47 (95% CI 1.38-1.56) following induction of labour.
Conclusions: Giving birth at ≥42 weeks gestation may be an under-recognised risk factor for several important, labour-related adverse outcomes. Clinicians should be aware that labour at this advanced gestation incurs a higher risk of adverse outcomes. In addition to known perinatal risks, the risk of obstetric complications should be considered in the counselling of women labouring at post-term gestation.