Evaluation of Performance of an LR and SVR models to predict COVID-19 Pandemic.

Recently, in December 2019 the Coronavirus disease surprisingly influenced the lives of millions of people in the world with its swift spread. To support medical experts/doctors with the overpowering challenge of prediction of total cases in India, a machine-learning algorithm was developed. In this research article, the author describes the possibility of predicting the COVID-19 total, active cases, death and cured cases in India up to 25th June 2020 by applying linear regression and support vector machine. It is extremely tricky to manage the occurrence of corona virus since it is expanding exponentially day to day and is difficult to handle with a limited number of doctors and beds to treat the infected individuals with limited time. Hence, it is essential to develop a machine learning based computerized predicting model. The development effort in this article is based on publicly available data that is downloaded from KAGGLE to estimate the spread of the disease within a short period. We have calculated the RMSE, R2, MAE of LR and SVR models and concluded that the RMSE of linear regression is less than the SVR. Therefore, the LR will help doctors to forecast for the next few days.
(© 2021 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. Selection and peer-review under responsibility of the scientific committee of the Emerging Trends in Materials Science, Technology and Engineering.)