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Age groups that sustain resurging COVID-19 epidemics in the United States.
- Source :
-
Science (New York, N.Y.) [Science] 2021 Mar 26; Vol. 371 (6536). Date of Electronic Publication: 2021 Feb 02. - Publication Year :
- 2021
-
Abstract
- After initial declines, in mid-2020 a resurgence in transmission of novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) occurred in the United States and Europe. As efforts to control COVID-19 disease are reintensified, understanding the age demographics driving transmission and how these affect the loosening of interventions is crucial. We analyze aggregated, age-specific mobility trends from more than 10 million individuals in the United States and link these mechanistically to age-specific COVID-19 mortality data. We estimate that as of October 2020, individuals aged 20 to 49 are the only age groups sustaining resurgent SARS-CoV-2 transmission with reproduction numbers well above one and that at least 65 of 100 COVID-19 infections originate from individuals aged 20 to 49 in the United States. Targeting interventions-including transmission-blocking vaccines-to adults aged 20 to 49 is an important consideration in halting resurgent epidemics and preventing COVID-19-attributable deaths.<br /> (Copyright © 2021 The Authors, some rights reserved; exclusive licensee American Association for the Advancement of Science. No claim to original U.S. Government Works.)
- Subjects :
- Adolescent
Adult
Age Factors
Basic Reproduction Number
COVID-19 mortality
COVID-19 prevention & control
COVID-19 Vaccines
Cell Phone
Child
Child, Preschool
Communicable Disease Control
Humans
Infant
Middle Aged
Models, Theoretical
Pandemics prevention & control
Schools
United States epidemiology
Young Adult
COVID-19 epidemiology
COVID-19 transmission
Epidemics prevention & control
Subjects
Details
- Language :
- English
- ISSN :
- 1095-9203
- Volume :
- 371
- Issue :
- 6536
- Database :
- MEDLINE
- Journal :
- Science (New York, N.Y.)
- Publication Type :
- Academic Journal
- Accession number :
- 33531384
- Full Text :
- https://doi.org/10.1126/science.abe8372