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Long-Term Prognostic Predictors of Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma Potentially Indicated for Endoscopic Submucosal Dissection.
- Source :
-
Digestion [Digestion] 2021; Vol. 102 (4), pp. 563-571. Date of Electronic Publication: 2020 Sep 07. - Publication Year :
- 2021
-
Abstract
- Introduction: Patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) have various comorbidities. Thus, it is necessary to determine the appropriateness of performing treatment based on the patient's general condition.<br />Aim: This study aimed to clarify the prognostic predictors of ESCC indicated for endoscopic submucosal dissection (ESD).<br />Methods: This retrospective study enrolled 241 patients with superficial ESCC endoscopically diagnosed as ESD-indicated lesions at the Nagoya University Hospital between January 2007 and December 2017. We evaluated the 3- and 5-year overall survival (OS) rates and prognostic predictors, such as the Prognostic Nutritional Index (PNI), Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI), Psoas Muscle Index, and Controlling Nutritional Status score. Furthermore, we created a score-based classification using the prognostic predictors identified by multivariate analysis, and the 3- and 5-year OS rates were compared among the calculated scores.<br />Results: In the multivariate analysis, PNI < 45 (hazard ratio [HR]: 2.39; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.28-4.46; p = 0.006) and CCI ≥ 3 (HR: 4.42; 95% CI: 2.40-8.12; p < 0.001) were significantly associated with the OS. Based on the HR, 0 and 1 were assigned to PNI and 0, 2, and 4 were assigned to CCI, and the score classification of 0-5 points was created. The 3- and 5-year OS rates in patients with a score 3 were significantly higher than in those with scores 4 and 5. As a result of scoring, the prognosis was stratified; the 3- and 5-year OS rates in patients with scores 4 and 5, that is, CCI ≥ 6, were clearly low, at approximately 10%.<br />Conclusions: CCI and PNI can be prognostic predictors of patients with superficial ESCC indicated for ESD. Observation without ESD might be an acceptable strategy among patients with CCI ≥ 6.<br /> (© 2020 The Author(s) Published by S. Karger AG, Basel.)
Details
- Language :
- English
- ISSN :
- 1421-9867
- Volume :
- 102
- Issue :
- 4
- Database :
- MEDLINE
- Journal :
- Digestion
- Publication Type :
- Academic Journal
- Accession number :
- 32894837
- Full Text :
- https://doi.org/10.1159/000510091