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The fiscal value of human lives lost from coronavirus disease (COVID-19) in China.

Authors :
Kirigia JM
Muthuri RNDK
Source :
BMC research notes [BMC Res Notes] 2020 Apr 01; Vol. 13 (1), pp. 198. Date of Electronic Publication: 2020 Apr 01.
Publication Year :
2020

Abstract

Objective: According to the WHO coronavirus disease (COVID-19) situation report 35, as of 24th February 2020, there was a total of 77,262 confirmed COVID-19 cases in China. That included 2595 deaths. The specific objective of this study was to estimate the fiscal value of human lives lost due to COVID-19 in China as of 24th February 2020.<br />Results: The deaths from COVID-19 had a discounted (at 3%) total fiscal value of Int$ 924,346,795 in China. Out of which, 63.2% was borne by people aged 25-49 years, 27.8% by people aged 50-64 years, and 9.0% by people aged 65 years and above. The average fiscal value per death was Int$ 356,203. Re-estimation of the economic model alternately with 5% and 10 discount rates led to a reduction in the expected total fiscal value by 21.3% and 50.4%, respectively. Furthermore, the re-estimation of the economic model using the world's highest average life expectancy of 87.1 years (which is that of Japanese females), instead of the national life expectancy of 76.4 years, increased the total fiscal value by Int$ 229,456,430 (24.8%).

Details

Language :
English
ISSN :
1756-0500
Volume :
13
Issue :
1
Database :
MEDLINE
Journal :
BMC research notes
Publication Type :
Academic Journal
Accession number :
32238182
Full Text :
https://doi.org/10.1186/s13104-020-05044-y