Predictive Effect of Malnutrition on Long-Term Clinical Outcomes among Older Men: A Prospectively Observational Cohort Study.

Objectives: To determine whether nutritional status can predict 3-year cognitive and functional decline, as well as 4-year all-cause mortality in older adults.
Design: Prospectively longitudinal cohort study.
Setting and Participants: The study recruited 354 men aged 65 years and older in the veteran's retirement community.
Measures: Baseline nutritional status was evaluated using the Mini-Nutritional Assessment-Short Form (MNA-SF). Cognitive function and Activities of Daily Living (ADL) function were determined by the Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE) and the Barthel Index, respectively. Three-year cognitive and functional decline were respectively defined as a >3 point decrease in the MMSE scores and lower ADL scores than at baseline. Univariate and multivariable logistic regression analyses were conducted to identify nutritional status as a risk factor in poor outcome. The Kaplan-Meier method and Cox proportional regression models were used to estimate the effect of malnutrition risk on the mortality.
Results: According to MNS-SF, the prevalence of risk of malnutrition was 53.1% (188/354). Multivariate logistic regression found risk of malnutrition significantly associated with 3-year cognitive decline (Adjusted odds ratio [OR] 2.07, 95% Confidence Interval [CI] 1.05-4.08, P =0.036) and functional decline (Adjusted OR 1.83, 95% CI 1.01-3.34, P =0.047) compared with normal nutritional status. The hazard ratio (HR) for all-cause mortality was 1.8 times higher in residents at risk of malnutrition (Adjusted HR 1.82, 95% CI 1.19-2.79, P =0.006).
Conclusions: Our results provide strong evidence that risk of malnutrition can predict not only cognitive and functional decline but also risk of all-cause mortality in older men living in a veteran retirement's community. Further longitudinal studies are needed to explore the causal relationship among nutrition, clinical outcomes, and the effect of an intervention for malnutrition.
Competing Interests: All authors declare no conflicts of interest for this study