Back to Search
Start Over
Exploring the Predictive Validity of the Susceptibility to Smoking Construct for Tobacco Cigarettes, Alternative Tobacco Products, and E-Cigarettes.
- Source :
-
Nicotine & tobacco research : official journal of the Society for Research on Nicotine and Tobacco [Nicotine Tob Res] 2019 Feb 18; Vol. 21 (3), pp. 323-330. - Publication Year :
- 2019
-
Abstract
- Introduction: Within tobacco prevention programming, it is useful to identify youth that are at risk for experimenting with various tobacco products and e-cigarettes. The susceptibility to smoking construct is a simple method to identify never-smoking students that are less committed to remaining smoke-free. However, the predictive validity of this construct has not been tested within the Canadian context or for the use of other tobacco products and e-cigarettes.<br />Methods: This study used a large, longitudinal sample of secondary school students that reported never using tobacco cigarettes and noncurrent use of alternative tobacco products or e-cigarettes at baseline in Ontario, Canada. The sensitivity, specificity, and positive and negative predictive values of the susceptibility construct for predicting tobacco cigarette, e-cigarette, cigarillo or little cigar, cigar, hookah, and smokeless tobacco use 1 and 2 years after baseline measurement were calculated.<br />Results: At baseline, 29.4% of the sample was susceptible to future tobacco product or e-cigarette use. The sensitivity of the construct ranged from 43.2% (smokeless tobacco) to 59.5% (tobacco cigarettes), the specificity ranged from 70.9% (smokeless tobacco) to 75.9% (tobacco cigarettes), and the positive predictive value ranged from 2.6% (smokeless tobacco) to 32.2% (tobacco cigarettes). Similar values were calculated for each measure of the susceptibility construct.<br />Conclusions: A significant number of youth that did not currently use tobacco products or e-cigarettes at baseline reported using tobacco products and e-cigarettes over a 2-year follow-up period. The predictive validity of the susceptibility construct was high and the construct can be used to predict other tobacco product and e-cigarette use among youth.<br />Implications: This study presents the predictive validity of the susceptibility construct for the use of tobacco cigarettes among secondary school students in Ontario, Canada. It also presents a novel use of the susceptibility construct for predicting the use of e-cigarettes, cigarillos or little cigars, cigars, hookah, and smokeless tobacco among secondary school students in Ontario, Canada.<br /> (© The Author(s) 2017. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the Society for Research on Nicotine and Tobacco. All rights reserved. For permissions, please e-mail: journals.permissions@oup.com.)
- Subjects :
- Adolescent
Female
Humans
Longitudinal Studies
Male
Ontario epidemiology
Prospective Studies
Self Report
Smoking psychology
Smoking Water Pipes
Students psychology
Surveys and Questionnaires
Vaping psychology
Disease Susceptibility
Electronic Nicotine Delivery Systems statistics & numerical data
Smoking epidemiology
Students statistics & numerical data
Tobacco Products statistics & numerical data
Tobacco, Smokeless statistics & numerical data
Vaping epidemiology
Subjects
Details
- Language :
- English
- ISSN :
- 1469-994X
- Volume :
- 21
- Issue :
- 3
- Database :
- MEDLINE
- Journal :
- Nicotine & tobacco research : official journal of the Society for Research on Nicotine and Tobacco
- Publication Type :
- Academic Journal
- Accession number :
- 29220532
- Full Text :
- https://doi.org/10.1093/ntr/ntx265