Prediction of long-term (> 10 year) cardiovascular outcomes in heart transplant recipients: Value of stress technetium-99m tetrofosmin myocardial perfusion imaging.

Background: Myocardial perfusion imaging (MPI) using single-photon emission computed tomography (SPECT) is useful in the evaluation of cardiac allograft vasculopathy (CAV) in heart transplant (HTx) recipients. The current study evaluated the long-term prognostic value of stress SPECT MPI for predicting all-cause mortality and cardiac events in HTx recipients.
Methods: The study population consisted of 166 HTx recipients (mean age 54 ± 10 years, 84% male) who underwent exercise or dobutamine stress ^99m Tc-tetrofosmin SPECT MPI for the assessment of CAV. An abnormal SPECT MPI was defined as the presence of a fixed or a reversible perfusion defect. Endpoints were all-cause mortality, cardiac mortality, and non-fatal myocardial infarction (MI).
Results: MPI abnormalities were detected in 55 patients (33%), including fixed defects in 28 patients (17%), partially reversible in 17 patients (10%), and completely reversible defects in 10 patients (6%). During a median follow-up of 12.8 years (range 0-15, mean follow-up 9.5 years), 109 (66%) patients died (all-cause mortality), of which 67 (40%) were due to cardiac causes. A total of 5 (3%) patients experienced a non-fatal MI. HTx recipients with a normal stress ^99m Tc-tetrofosmin SPECT MPI had a significantly better prognosis as compared with those with an abnormal study, up to 5 years after the initial test. The presence of a reversible perfusion defect was a significant predictor of all-cause mortality, cardiac mortality, and major cardiac events, during the entire follow-up period.
Conclusions: Stress ^99m Tc-tetrofosmin SPECT MPI provides valuable prognostic information for the prediction of long-term outcome in HTx recipients. Patients with a normal stress ^99m Tc-tetrofosmin SPECT MPI have a significantly better prognosis as compared with those with an abnormal study, up to 5 years after initial testing.