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The Military Injury Severity Score (mISS): A better predictor of combat mortality than Injury Severity Score (ISS).
- Source :
-
The journal of trauma and acute care surgery [J Trauma Acute Care Surg] 2016 Jul; Vol. 81 (1), pp. 114-21. - Publication Year :
- 2016
-
Abstract
- Background: The Military Injury Severity Score (mISS) was developed to better predict mortality in complex combat injuries but has yet to be validated.<br />Methods: US combat trauma data from Afghanistan and Iraq from January 1, 2003, to December 31, 2014, from the US Department of Defense Trauma Registry (DoDTR) were analyzed. Military ISS, a variation of the ISS, was calculated and compared with standard ISS scores.Receiver operating characteristic curve, area under the curve, and Hosmer-Lemeshow statistics were used to discriminate and calibrate between mISS and ISS. Wilcoxon-Mann-Whitney, t test and χ tests were used, and sensitivity and specificity calculated. Logistic regression was used to calculate the likelihood of mortality associated with levels of mISS and ISS overall.<br />Results: Thirty thousand three hundred sixty-four patients were analyzed. Most were male (96.8%). Median age was 24 years (interquartile range [IQR], 21-29 years). Battle injuries comprised 65.3%. Penetrating (39.5%) and blunt (54.2%) injury types and explosion (51%) and gunshot wound (15%) mechanisms predominated. Overall mortality was 6.0%.Median mISS and ISS were similar in survivors (5 [IQR, 2-10] vs. 5 [IQR, 2-10]) but different in nonsurvivors, 30 (IQR, 16-75) versus 24 (IQR, 9-23), respectively (p < 0.0001). Military ISS and ISS were discordant in 17.6% (n = 5,352), accounting for 56.2% (n = 1,016) of deaths. Among cases with discordant severity scores, the median difference between mISS and ISS was 9 (IQR, 7-16); range, 1 to 59. Military ISS and ISS shared 78% variability (R = 0.78).Area under the curve was higher in mISS than in ISS overall (0.82 vs. 0.79), for battle injury (0.79 vs. 0.76), non-battle injury (0.87 vs. 0.86), penetrating (0.81 vs. 0.77), blunt (0.77 vs. 0.75), explosion (0.81 vs. 0.78), and gunshot (0.79 vs. 0.73), all p < 0.0001. Higher mISS and ISS were associated with higher mortality. Compared with ISS, mISS had higher sensitivity (81.2 vs. 63.9) and slightly lower specificity (80.2 vs. 85.7).<br />Conclusion: Military ISS predicts combat mortality better than does ISS.<br />Level of Evidence: Prognostic and epidemiologic study, level III.
Details
- Language :
- English
- ISSN :
- 2163-0763
- Volume :
- 81
- Issue :
- 1
- Database :
- MEDLINE
- Journal :
- The journal of trauma and acute care surgery
- Publication Type :
- Academic Journal
- Accession number :
- 26958797
- Full Text :
- https://doi.org/10.1097/TA.0000000000001032