[Integration and demonstration of key techniques in surveillance and forecast of schistosomiasis in Jiangsu Province I Layout and effect of the demonstration sites for schistosomiasis surveillance and forecast].

Objective: To explore and integrate the key techniques used in the surveillance and forecast of schistosomiasis in the water regions along the Yangtze River, so as to provide technical support for identifying rapidly the risk of schistosomiasis transmission and implementing control measures targeting the risk.
Methods: According to the distribution of water systems and water regions along the Yangtze River in Jiangsu Province, the demonstration sites for surveillance and forecast of schistosomiasis were set across the province, where the integration and demonstration of the techniques regarding monitoring of Schistosoma japonicum infection in sentinel mice, human and animal activities, release of forecast information, and emergency treatment of water regions at risk of infection were performed. The pattern of human and animal activities was compared with the S. japonicum infection in sentinel mice in the demonstration sites, and the operability of the release of information and emergency treatment of the risk of S. japonicum infection was evaluated.
Results: A total of 50 demonstration sites for surveillance and forecast of schistosomiasis were set in fixed anchor points, opening of the navigation lock to the Yangtze River, freight terminal, agritainment places, ferry, large construction places, and places for guaranteeing the Youth Olympic Games in 23 counties (districts) of 5 cities, Jiangsu Province. During the period between May. and September, 2014, the infectivity of water body was monitored by using 5 batches of sentinel mice, with a 99.06% (4,954/5,001) gross recovery rate of mice. S. japonicum infection was detected in a demonstration site, and an infected mouse was found, with a 0.02% (1/4,933) gross positive rate of sentinel mice. The field survey showed 2 088 person-times contacting water, including 91.95% (1,920/2,088) contacting water due to the production such as capturing fish, harvesting and cultivating crops, and repairing and building boats, and 8.05% (168/2 088) contacting water due to the life activity, such as fishing, washing vegetables and playing with water. The people contacted water predominantly in August and September (49.57%). A total of 859 boats containing 1,877 boatmen were observed, 68.22% (586/859) of which were fishing boats containing 1,306 fishermen (69.58%). There were 32 sheep found in 4 demonstration sites, and 3 sheep were seen in the demonstration site with infected sentinel mouse. Four blue forecasts (emergence of water contact) and one orange forecast (S. japonicum-infected sentinel mouse detected) were released across the province, with one forecast map released which showed 5 sites with fishing and one site with sheep grazing, one emergency response system initiated, mollusciciding implemented in 10 hm2 high-risk regions, 120 sheep grazed in fence, and 35 fishermen given health-education materials, schistosomiasis examination and preventive therapy. In addition, no acute schistosomiasis occurred in the demonstration site with S. japonicum-infected sentinel mice.
Conclusions: The integration and demonstration of the techniques regarding monitoring of S. japonicum infection in sentinel mice, human and animal activities, release of forecast information, and emergency treatment of water regions at risk of infection provides an effective approach for the large-scale surveillance and forecast of schistosomiasis.