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Books average previous decade of economic misery.

Authors :
Bentley RA
Acerbi A
Ormerod P
Lampos V
Source :
PloS one [PLoS One] 2014 Jan 08; Vol. 9 (1), pp. e83147. Date of Electronic Publication: 2014 Jan 08 (Print Publication: 2014).
Publication Year :
2014

Abstract

For the 20(th) century since the Depression, we find a strong correlation between a 'literary misery index' derived from English language books and a moving average of the previous decade of the annual U.S. economic misery index, which is the sum of inflation and unemployment rates. We find a peak in the goodness of fit at 11 years for the moving average. The fit between the two misery indices holds when using different techniques to measure the literary misery index, and this fit is significantly better than other possible correlations with different emotion indices. To check the robustness of the results, we also analysed books written in German language and obtained very similar correlations with the German economic misery index. The results suggest that millions of books published every year average the authors' shared economic experiences over the past decade.

Details

Language :
English
ISSN :
1932-6203
Volume :
9
Issue :
1
Database :
MEDLINE
Journal :
PloS one
Publication Type :
Academic Journal
Accession number :
24416159
Full Text :
https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0083147