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A reconstruction of regional and global temperature for the past 11,300 years.
- Source :
-
Science (New York, N.Y.) [Science] 2013 Mar 08; Vol. 339 (6124), pp. 1198-201. - Publication Year :
- 2013
-
Abstract
- Surface temperature reconstructions of the past 1500 years suggest that recent warming is unprecedented in that time. Here we provide a broader perspective by reconstructing regional and global temperature anomalies for the past 11,300 years from 73 globally distributed records. Early Holocene (10,000 to 5000 years ago) warmth is followed by ~0.7°C cooling through the middle to late Holocene (<5000 years ago), culminating in the coolest temperatures of the Holocene during the Little Ice Age, about 200 years ago. This cooling is largely associated with ~2°C change in the North Atlantic. Current global temperatures of the past decade have not yet exceeded peak interglacial values but are warmer than during ~75% of the Holocene temperature history. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change model projections for 2100 exceed the full distribution of Holocene temperature under all plausible greenhouse gas emission scenarios.
Details
- Language :
- English
- ISSN :
- 1095-9203
- Volume :
- 339
- Issue :
- 6124
- Database :
- MEDLINE
- Journal :
- Science (New York, N.Y.)
- Publication Type :
- Academic Journal
- Accession number :
- 23471405
- Full Text :
- https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1228026