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Where diseases and networks collide: lessons to be learnt from a study of the 2001 foot-and-mouth disease epidemic.
- Source :
-
Epidemiology and infection [Epidemiol Infect] 2005 Dec; Vol. 133 (6), pp. 1023-32. - Publication Year :
- 2005
-
Abstract
- This paper uses a graph-theoretical approach to investigate the properties of the observed network of disease transmission in the 2001 foot-and-mouth epidemic in the United Kingdom. This analysis revealed both global and local heterogeneity in the contact pattern between the infected premises in the first 3 weeks of the disease. In particular, the global heterogeneity contributed to the failure of the culling strategy imposed by the UK government. However, a more effective strategy targeting selective deletion of key premises in the network was not available once the epidemic had begun. We recommend that post-hoc analyses of this sort should become part of preventative and proactive policy rather than part of a reaction to an ongoing crisis.
- Subjects :
- Animals
Cattle
Computer Simulation
Contact Tracing
Foot-and-Mouth Disease transmission
Information Services
Seroepidemiologic Studies
Communicable Disease Control
Disease Outbreaks veterinary
Disease Transmission, Infectious veterinary
Foot-and-Mouth Disease epidemiology
Models, Theoretical
Subjects
Details
- Language :
- English
- ISSN :
- 0950-2688
- Volume :
- 133
- Issue :
- 6
- Database :
- MEDLINE
- Journal :
- Epidemiology and infection
- Publication Type :
- Academic Journal
- Accession number :
- 16274498
- Full Text :
- https://doi.org/10.1017/S095026880500453X