A space–time diurnal method for short-term freeway travel time prediction.

Highlights: [•] We propose a space-time diurnal method to predict short-term freeway travel times. [•] The method considers spatial and temporal correlation and diurnal pattern of travel times. [•] We use two distributions to model the 5-min average travel time. [•] This method provides the distribution of predicted travel times and their prediction intervals. [•] Travel time data from neighboring links can be used to improve prediction of travel times. [Copyright &y& Elsevier]