Back to Search Start Over

The Waldmeier rule and early diagnostics of the maximum of the current solar cycle.

Authors :
Nagovitsyn, Yu.
Kuleshova, A.
Source :
Astronomy Reports. Oct2012, Vol. 56 Issue 10, p800-804. 5p. 5 Graphs.
Publication Year :
2012

Abstract

The well known Waldmeier rule and its modifications applied to forecasting of the solar activity are discussed. The maximum annual mean rate of the increase in the magnetic flux observed on the growth branch of the cycle is proposed as a predicting (diagnosing) parameter for the amplitude of the cycle currently in progress. The maximum Wolf number of the current (24th) cycle is estimated to reach 104 (±12) or more, and to occur in 2013 or later. The yearly average Wolf numbers observed during the 24th cycle are presented. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Details

Language :
English
ISSN :
10637729
Volume :
56
Issue :
10
Database :
Academic Search Index
Journal :
Astronomy Reports
Publication Type :
Academic Journal
Accession number :
82213100
Full Text :
https://doi.org/10.1134/S1063772912090065