Foresight: proposta de uma metodologia visando ao fortalecimento da competitividade dos setores industriais brasileiros.

Governments all over the world hope to make their industrial sectors more competitive in the global economy. Th is paper introduces a foresight methodology created to defi ne long-term strategy plans for six industrial sectors in Brazil each of which is aligned with an industrial policy that aims to reorganize strategic sectors, enhance their competitiveness in the global market, and increase foreign sales of value-added products. The method was created while CGEE developed prospective studies for the six sectors, and is based on the development of strategic and technological roadmaps, adapted to accommodate unique requirements for each sector. It consists of four phases - Pre-Foresight Planning, Understanding the Present, Futuring Perspectives, and Prospecting Future Opportunities. Pre-Foresight includes: defi ning a work plan and foresight approach; and negotiating with stakeholders. Understanding the Present includes: data gathering; and segmentation and prioritization. Futuring Perspectives includes: scanning and detecting trends; and developing vision and action goals. Prospecting Future Opportunities includes: defining strategies and roadmaps; and making recommendations. This paper focuses on formalizing this process so that it can be more broadly disseminated and more easily used. It starts by introducing the meaning of foresight concepts relevant in the industrial context of Brazil, and subsequently introduces an adaptation of the roadmap technique to the broader scope of the industrial sectors. This paper emphasizes the challenges and results obtained while working with the aeronautical, shoes, plastic, furniture, medical equipment, and textile sectors of Brazil. The final recommendations for prospective studies are not shared due to the sensitive nature of the information. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]