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Updating Subjective Probability.
- Source :
-
Journal of the American Statistical Association . Dec82, Vol. 77 Issue 380, p822. 9p. - Publication Year :
- 1982
-
Abstract
- Jeffrey's rule for revising a probability P to a new probability P* based on new probabilities P* (E[sub I]) on a partition {E[sub I]}[sub I = 1[sup n]] is P[sup *](A) = SIGMA P(A | E[sub I])P[sup *](E[sub I]). Jeffrey's rule is applicable if it is judged that P[sup *](A | E[sub I]) = P(A | E[sub I]) for all A and I. This article discusses some of the mathematical properties of this rule, connecting it with sufficient partitions, and maximum entropy updating of contingency tables. The main results concern simultaneous revision on two partitions. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
Details
- Language :
- English
- ISSN :
- 01621459
- Volume :
- 77
- Issue :
- 380
- Database :
- Academic Search Index
- Journal :
- Journal of the American Statistical Association
- Publication Type :
- Academic Journal
- Accession number :
- 4605700
- Full Text :
- https://doi.org/10.1080/01621459.1982.10477893