Tail distribution of index fluctuations in World markets

Abstract: We have investigated the tail distribution of the daily fluctuations in 202 different indices in the stock markets of 59 countries for the time span of the last 20 years. Power law, log-normal, Weibull, exponential and power law with exponential cutoff distributions are considered as possible candidates for the tail distribution of the normalized returns. It is found that the power exponent depends strongly on the choice of the tail threshold and a sizeable number of indices can be better fitted by a distribution function other than the power law at the region that has power law exponent of 3. Also, we have found that the power exponent is not an indicator of the maturity of the market. [Copyright &y& Elsevier]