Encoding global semantic and localized geographic spatial-temporal relations for traffic accident risk prediction.

The proliferation of vehicles and the intricate layout of road systems have contributed to a significant rise in traffic accidents, posing a pressing concern globally. Despite the advancements facilitated by deep learning, several challenges persist in the domain of traffic accident prediction. Firstly, the sparsity of accident data in certain city regions presents a significant obstacle, particularly when attempting fine-grained predictions at a local level. Secondly, the intricate spatial-temporal relations inherent in traffic accident data pose a challenge for existing prediction models. In response to these formidable challenges, this paper presents GLST-TARP, a novel model for predicting traffic accident risk in urban environments by leveraging both global semantic and localized geographic spatial-temporal relations. Specifically, we construct multi-graphs to encode global static and dynamic spatial relations, incorporating attention mechanisms to adaptively focus on relevant information and temporal relations. Additionally, we employ channel-wise convolutional neural network blocks to extract localized geographic features and enhance predictive accuracy. The proposed model is trained using a Huber loss function tailored for regression tasks, relieving the impact of zero values during optimization. Experimental results demonstrate that GLST-TARP outperforms state-of-the-art methods in predicting traffic accident risks, showcasing its potential for enhancing urban safety and transportation management. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]