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Dynamic analysis and optimal control of HIV/AIDS model considering the first 95% target.

Authors :
Hao, Wenhui
Zhang, Juping
Jin, Zhen
Source :
Mathematical Methods in the Applied Sciences. Nov2024, p1. 24p. 10 Illustrations.
Publication Year :
2024

Abstract

Based on the level of awareness of the population, an HIV/AIDS model is developed, which focused on the first 95% plan developed by UNAIDS. The threshold R0$$ {R}_0 $$ of model and the expressions of the disease‐free equilibrium and the endemic equilibrium are calculated, proving the existence of backward bifurcation. Backward bifurcation is caused by the imperfect protection rate of susceptible population due to education. Using China's actual data for parameter fitting, it is found that new HIV infections are on an upward trend. In response to this phenomenon, publicity and education, condoms, screening, and treatment of infected populations are considered as control measures. It is concluded that publicity and education is the primary strategy. This measure can not only effectively reduce the number of infected populations but also effectively increase the awareness rate of HIV‐infected populations. It is recommended to use condoms and have fewer sexual partners during sexual contact. Numerical simulation verifies that early stage publicity and education are much more important than post‐infection screening and treatment measures. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Details

Language :
English
ISSN :
01704214
Database :
Academic Search Index
Journal :
Mathematical Methods in the Applied Sciences
Publication Type :
Academic Journal
Accession number :
180647906
Full Text :
https://doi.org/10.1002/mma.10563