Proposal to estimate the required resources for healthcare.

Objective. To present a proposal to estimate healthcare resource requirements for the population with no social security in Mexico City and the domestic projection, including access and coverage. Materials and methods. The gross domestic product percentage for healthcare is calculated using the Medical-Technical Baseline Cost (MTBC) or the Medical Economic Card (MEC) standard according to diagnosis and care treatment for the population with no social security, thus projecting the prospective resource requirements. Results. There is a shortfall of resources for 2024; the prospective per capita for the first level of healthcare is $3 813 and the historical one is $1 933; and the corresponding values for the second level are $4 430 and $3 861. The %GDP-healthcare for Mexico City in 2024 exhibits a 42% difference between the historical and prospective categories. The shortfall of resources for the three levels of healthcare in the entire country is 19%. Conclusions. The prospective budget makes it possible to calculate healthcare resource requirements with a higher degree of certainty and graduality. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]