A novel green learning artificial intelligence model for regional electrical load prediction.

Load prediction is crucial to unit commitment and scheduling in electricity systems; however, load prediction models consume considerable electricity. Most conventional prediction methods are based on deep learning (DL) models, such as long short-term memory and gated recurrent units. The nonlinear activation functions and backpropagation mechanisms used in these methods result in high computational complexity and correspondingly high energy consumption. This paper proposes a prediction model based on a green learning (GL) framework aimed at reducing energy consumption. The proposed GL model replaces the activation functions conventionally used for feature extraction with a hybrid scheme combining categorical and numerical features, such as seasonal climate features and multi-autoregression terms. The proposed GL model also eliminates the backpropagation methods used to optimize hyperparameters by employing seasonal centroids and the quantile auto-regression forest algorithm for classification/regression. In a case study, the proposed GL model significantly outperformed conventional DL models in terms of energy consumption without compromising accuracy. The energy savings of the proposed GL model are equivalent to the annual electricity consumption of 211 ∼ 565 households, increasing with model penetration. This paper demonstrates the importance of energy-saving models in mitigating the linkage effect of industrial carbon emissions. It also explores policy implications for the implementation of GL models. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]