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Reducing data requirement for accurate photovoltaic power prediction using hybrid machine learning-physical model on diverse dataset.

Authors :
Syauqi, Ahmad
Pavian Eldi, Gian
Andika, Riezqa
Lim, Hankwon
Source :
Solar Energy. Sep2024, Vol. 279, pN.PAG-N.PAG. 1p.
Publication Year :
2024

Abstract

[Display omitted] • Physical-machine learning hybrid model is proposed to predict solar PV power output. • The hybrid model is trained on a diverse dataset containing 6 different solar PV. • The model reduces error by 1.5 % and 42 % compared to the ML and physical model. • The hybrid model gives accurate result even when 97 % of the training data is loss. This research aims to develop a hybrid model combining machine learning and a physical model and demonstrate its effectiveness across diverse datasets, data scarcity scenarios, and not standard conditions. The hybridization approach involves parallel integration of physical and machine learning models, where the outputs of both models are weighted and yield improved predictions by assigning weight based on error minimization. A deep neural network serves as the machine learning model, while the single-diode model is employed as the physical model. This study utilizes six different solar PV for constructing the diverse dataset. Key findings reveal that the hybrid model can accurately predict power generation from a diverse range of solar PV, during data scarcity scenarios, and in all conditions. The model performs well in predicting solar PV power output in 6 types of solar PV with an average RMSE of 0.177 kW. The hybrid model outperforms machine learning and physical models by 1.5 % and 42 % respectively when trained on the full dataset. Moreover, when 97 % of the data is discarded intentionally, the hybrid model outperforms both machine learning and physical models by 47.7 % and 10.5 % respectively. The model also shows that it can improve the accuracy of the prediction during standard (solar irradiance = 1000 W m−2) and not standard conditions. The successful hybridization of machine learning and physical models addresses previously identified limitations in individual models. In addition, the model indicates a substantial improvement in terms of accuracy compared to prior published studies. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Details

Language :
English
ISSN :
0038092X
Volume :
279
Database :
Academic Search Index
Journal :
Solar Energy
Publication Type :
Academic Journal
Accession number :
179237654
Full Text :
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.solener.2024.112814