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Assessing vaccine efficacy for infectious diseases with variable immunity using a mathematical model.

Authors :
Al-arydah, Mo’tassem
Source :
Scientific Reports. 8/10/2024, Vol. 14 Issue 1, p1-17. 17p.
Publication Year :
2024

Abstract

This study introduces an SIRS compartmental mathematical model encompassing vaccination and variable immunity periods for infectious diseases. I derive a basic reproduction number formula and assess the local and global stability of disease-free and the local stability of the endemic equilibria. I demonstrate that the basic reproduction number in the presence of a vaccine is highly sensitive to the rate of immunity loss, and even a slight reduction in this rate can significantly contribute to disease control. Additionally, I have derived a formula to calculate the critical efficacy period required for a vaccine to effectively manage and control the disease.The analysis conducted for the model suggests that increasing the vaccine’s immunity duration (efficacy) decelerates disease dynamics, leading to reduced rates of reinfection and less severe disease outcomes. Furthermore, this delay contributes to a decrease in the basic reproduction number ( R 0 ), thus facilitating more rapid disease control efforts. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Details

Language :
English
ISSN :
20452322
Volume :
14
Issue :
1
Database :
Academic Search Index
Journal :
Scientific Reports
Publication Type :
Academic Journal
Accession number :
179153866
Full Text :
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-69651-6