Spawning history, fecundity, and potential sperm limitation of female blue crabs in Chesapeake Bay.

The blue crab (Callinectes sapidus) is an ecologically and economically important species in estuaries of the Western Atlantic Ocean and Gulf of Mexico. Given the importance of reproductive output and spawner demography on population dynamics, blue crab management may be improved if individual-based changes in egg production are identified and incorporated into management advice. We determined the spawning history, batch fecundity, and stored sperm quantity of 126 ovigerous blue crabs in 2022 to estimate the reproductive potential of female blue crabs in Chesapeake Bay. Our mean estimate of fecundity, 2.17 million eggs/female, is similar to a fecundity estimate from 1986 (2.6 million eggs/female), but lower than an estimate from 1987 (4.0 million eggs/female). The 1987 estimate was likely biased high due to methodological differences. In 2022, size-specific fecundity did not differ from that in 1986. Size-specific fecundity was lower by 0.28 million eggs in multiparous females (i.e., those that produced at least one previous egg mass) compared with primiparous females (i.e., those producing their first egg mass). Size-specific fecundity was also greater in July and August than in June, however, females in June had a greater capacity for future reproductive potential because their average stored sperm quantity was three times greater than that of females in July and August. Most females in June were primiparous and would become multiparous females in July and August with higher size-specific fecundity. Our study is the first to pair individual fecundity, stored sperm quantity, and spawning history for blue crabs, which allows for a robust assessment of reproductive potential. Generally, the reproductive potential of individual female blue crabs was high at the individual level, such that sperm limitation is unlikely at the population level. Population-level production may be increased by protecting primiparous spawners as these crabs have the highest capacity to contribute offspring to the population. Furthermore, fisheries management may be improved by using our updated estimate of size-specific fecundity (Fecundity = 268,337 × exp(0.015 × Carapace Width)) and incorporating month or spawner history in models of stock production. • Blue crab reproductive potential in Chesapeake Bay was assessed • Females in June, early in the spawning season, had the highest reproductive potential • Fecundity was higher in primiparous than multiparous females • Individual reproductive potential is high and population sperm limitation is unlikely • Size-specific fecundity in 2022 was not different from that in 1986 [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]