MGAtt-LSTM: A multi-scale spatial correlation prediction model of PM2.5 concentration based on multi-graph attention.

The increase in air pollution has posed numerous new challenges for human society, making the exploration of an effective method for predicting air pollutant concentrations highly significant. The current research faces several primary challenges: the neglect of non-Euclidean characteristics of site distribution on data and the strong spatiotemporal dependencies in the dispersion process of pollutants. To address these issues, this paper constructs a spatiotemporal hybrid prediction model – the MGAtt-LSTM method – for predicting PM 2.5 concentrations, which employs the dynamic multi-graph attention module (MGAtt) to tackle spatial dependencies and Long Short-Term Memory networks (LSTM) to address temporal dependencies. Additionally, extensive experiments are conducted by using historical air pollutant monitoring data and meteorological data from the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region. The results demonstrate that the proposed MGAtt-LSTM model achieved superior performance in concentration prediction compared to existing benchmark models. • The neural network consists of multi-graph attention network and LSTM network. • Air pollution data in North China and meteorological data are used to forecast. • The uneven distribution of pollutant sites is considered to predict PM 2.5 concentrations precisely. • The use of multi-graph attention networks addresses the issue of traditional GCN methods relying on fixed graph structures. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]