اثرات انواع سرریزهای تکنولوژی بر سرمایه گذاری بخش خصوصی در صنایع غذایی کشاورزی ایران.

Given the importance of food security in the planning of developing countries such as Iran, as well as the significant role of the private sector in food investment, the present study examines the impact of technology spillovers on private sector investment in the agricultural food industries of Iran over a 30 - year period. Using a dynamic computable general equilibrium (DCGE) model and the 1390 social accounting matrix, the study evaluates the effects of technology spillovers, including three scenarios: doubling foreign direct investment, improving research and development through enhanced production efficiency considering a technology depreciation coefficient of 0.0062, and a 20% increase in imports of capital and intermediate goods on the private sector investment variable in the agricultural food industries, including four sectors: agriculture and horticulture, livestock, fisheries, and food industries. The results indicate that the first scenario will increase private sector investment in all four sectors. The second scenario does not lead to increased private sector investment in the four target sectors, while the third scenario will not have an impact on increasing private sector investment in the agricultural food industries except for fisheries. Therefore, it is recommended that necessary policies be implemented to attract foreign direct investment and restrict the import of intermediate goods to promote the development of the agricultural food industries in Iran. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]