基于平等协商的跨境水资源初始分配研究 ——以澜沧江-湄公河流域为例.

Transboundary water resource allocation is the core issue to alleviate water resources conflicts and realize effective management and utilization of water resources. Based on the perspective of equal negotiation, we used the Negotiation Game Model to describe the cooperation path among basin countries. Firstly, we introduced the idea of flexible weight to establish a fair and reasonable allocation mode by using a Multi-criteria Decision Model. Then, we used the negotiation game model to approximate the negotiation process of each basin country, to explore a fair and reasonable initial allocation scheme of transboundary water resources that can be generally recognized by each basin country. Taking the Lancang-Mekong River Basin (LMRB) as an example for empirical analysis, the results show that: ① The negotiation scheme proposed by each basin country based on the constraint of fair and reasonable allocation mode reflects the interest demands of each basin country, but the sum of the ideal water rights allocation ratio of each basin country does not meet the constraint condition equal to 100%, so negotiation is required. Each country bears a certain loss of water rights, and the reduction of water rights borne by each basin country ranges from zero to 5. 02%; ② The average satisfaction of the optimized allocation scheme under different preference scenarios is above 90%, which has higher satisfaction and stability compared with the negotiation scheme proposed by each basin country. It indicates that finding the optimal solution of water resource allocation based on the subject satisfaction function considers the interest demands of each basin country, which can improve the acceptability of the transboundary water rights allocation scheme; ③ Under different allocation scenarios, the proportion of transboundary water rights allocated to China and Thailand is higher, while the proportion allocated to Myanmar is lower. From the perspective of the change rate and the average satisfaction of each basin country before and after the negotiation, the transboundary water rights allocation scheme under the preference equity scenario and preference efficiency scenario is the less controversial scheme for each basin country. This study aims to improve the rationality and feasibility of transboundary water resource allocation and provide support for reducing water resource conflicts. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]