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Peak Flow Event Durations in the Mississippi River Basin and Implications for Temporal Sampling of Rivers.

Authors :
Cerbelaud, Arnaud
David, Cédric H.
Biancamaria, Sylvain
Wade, Jeffrey
Tom, Manu
Prata de Moraes Frasson, Renato
Blumstein, Denis
Source :
Geophysical Research Letters. 6/16/2024, Vol. 51 Issue 11, p1-10. 10p.
Publication Year :
2024

Abstract

The impact of an episodic river flood is intimately linked to its duration. Yet it is still unclear how often should a river be observed to accurately determine the occurrence and duration of extreme events. Here we assess flow statistics along with peak flow event detection and duration as a function of the discharge sampling period for large tributaries of the Mississippi basin using hourly gages over 2010–2022. Median event durations above high quantiles spatially vary from around 2 days upstream to 30 days downstream. Discharge mean, standard deviation, and quantiles can all be estimated within 2.5% error for sampling periods up to 8 days. A minimum temporal sampling 4× (2×) finer than peak flow event median duration is required to detect 95 ± 3% (85 ± 5%) of events and to estimate their duration within 90 ± 5% (75 ± 10%) median accuracy. Our findings have direct implications for future satellite missions concerned with capturing flood events. Plain Language Summary: High flow events and their duration in rivers are key aspects of flood studies. Yet, it is still unclear how often a river should be observed to detect floods and determine their durations. Analyzing hourly stream gage data in the Mississippi River basin from 2010 to 2022, we calculate that flood events vary widely in duration from upstream (2 days) to downstream (30 days). We show that observing large rivers every few days is sufficient to compute common long‐term river flow statistics within 2.5% error. However, capturing most floods and accurately assessing their duration (within 10% error) requires monitoring at least four times more frequently than the typical duration of these events. This means that if a major flood typically lasts 10 days, the river data should be collected at least every 2–3 days. Our findings have implications for the design of monitoring systems concerned with the accurate capture of floods, including those using Earth orbiting satellites. Key Points: Peak flow events in the Mississippi basin range from 2 days upstream to 30 days downstream, hence exhibiting acute spatial variabilityDecadal mean, standard deviation and quantiles of hourly discharge can all be computed within 2.5% error up to an 8‐day sampling periodSampling periods must be a factor of 4 finer than median peak flow event durations to estimate durations within 90 ± 5% median accuracy [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Details

Language :
English
ISSN :
00948276
Volume :
51
Issue :
11
Database :
Academic Search Index
Journal :
Geophysical Research Letters
Publication Type :
Academic Journal
Accession number :
177798744
Full Text :
https://doi.org/10.1029/2024GL109220