Radyosonde rasatları ile makine öğrenmesi tabanlı hava durumu kestirimi.

From the past to the present, weather forecasting holds significant importance for humanity. The precise execution of weather forecasting enables the implementation of precautions against natural disasters such as floods, tsunamis, etc., thereby minimizing the adverse effects that may arise. In this study, weather prediction is conducted using Radiosonde data. Within this prediction, estimations for both the highest and lowest temperatures are made employing machine learning algorithms. Unlike previous temperature prediction studies in the literature, a three-year dataset of Radiosonde observations is utilized. This dataset, measured at intervals of 1mbar up to an altitude of 40 km from the ground, allows for a more accurate modeling of the atmosphere compared to other studies in the literature. In this model, predictions for the highest and lowest temperatures for the next day are made. In this stage, the effects of normalization, feature extraction, or selection on the results are analyzed, and the most suitable model for prediction is determined. The software, implemented in the MATLAB environment, compares different regression methods. As a result of these analyses, utilizing the Gaussian Process Regression (GPR) method, the highest temperature prediction for the next day is achieved with the highest accuracy, with a mean square root deviation of 1.2. Using the same method, the lowest temperature prediction is made with a mean square root deviation ratio of 2.4. The results indicate more successful temperature predictions compared to studies in the literature. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]