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Seasonality in commodity prices: new approaches for pricing plain vanilla options.

Authors :
Frau, Carme
Fanelli, Viviana
Source :
Annals of Operations Research. May2024, Vol. 336 Issue 1/2, p1089-1131. 43p.
Publication Year :
2024

Abstract

We present a new term-structure model for commodity futures prices based on Trolle and Schwartz (2009), which we extend by incorporating seasonal stochastic volatility represented with two different sinusoidal expressions. We obtain a quasi-analytical representation of the characteristic function of the futures log-prices and closed-form expressions for standard European options' prices using the fast Fourier transform algorithm. We price plain vanilla options on the Henry Hub natural gas futures contracts, using our model and extant models. We obtain higher accuracy levels with our model than with the extant models. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Details

Language :
English
ISSN :
02545330
Volume :
336
Issue :
1/2
Database :
Academic Search Index
Journal :
Annals of Operations Research
Publication Type :
Academic Journal
Accession number :
177190168
Full Text :
https://doi.org/10.1007/s10479-022-05128-x