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Evolution of wind speed observed in Brazil between 1961 and 2020.

Authors :
Lima, Gizelly Cardoso
Rodrigues, Daniele Tôrres
Santos E Silva, Cláudio Moisés
de Sousa Costa, Patrícia Catarine
Source :
International Journal of Climatology. May2024, Vol. 44 Issue 6, p1932-1954. 23p.
Publication Year :
2024

Abstract

The study's main objective was to analyse daily wind speed data in Brazil collected on‐site from 1961 to 2020 and assess changes in two 30‐year climatological normals, denoted as P1 and P2. Data were sourced from 54 INMET‐managed meteorological stations, with missing data filled using the bootstrap expectation maximization algorithm. Imputation performance was evaluated, and results suggested that the 10% imputed level was most reliable, showing low RMSE values (below 0.5), SD values near 1, and r values exceeding 0.93. This method proved suitable for reconstructing historical wind speed data in Brazil. The analysis included the application of the Mann–Kendall test to detect linear trends and Sen's slope test to quantify trend intensity, both at a 5% significance level. Positive trends during P2 were observed in the Amazon basin and Brazil's semiarid region, while negative trends increased along the coast and in the Southeast region. Average wind speeds during P1 were higher than in P2. Comparing the two climatological normals revealed significant positive trends in some regions during P2, with an increase in average monthly variation of up to 0.85 m·s−1. The average slopes of significant trends were −1 and 1 m·s−1·decade−1 for all periods. The results indicated high wind magnitudes, with maximum power density of 778.08 W·m−2 for the NEB region, 170.90 W·m−2 for the SEB region and 401.67 W·m−2 for the SUB, making these regions promising for future wind power projects. These findings have the potential to enhance the optimization of renewable wind energy generation in Brazil. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Details

Language :
English
ISSN :
08998418
Volume :
44
Issue :
6
Database :
Academic Search Index
Journal :
International Journal of Climatology
Publication Type :
Academic Journal
Accession number :
177083838
Full Text :
https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.8433