CO2 Flushing Triggers Paroxysmal Eruptions at Open Conduit Basaltic Volcanoes.

Open conduit volcanoes erupt with the highest frequency on Earth. Their activity is characterized by an outgassing flux that largely exceeds the gas that could be released by the erupted magma; and by frequent small explosions intercalated by larger events that pose a significant risk to locals, tourists, and scientists. Thus, identifying the signs of an impending larger explosion is of utmost importance for the mitigation of volcanic hazard. Larger explosive events have been associated with the sudden ascent of volatile rich magmas, however, where and why magma accumulates within the plumbing system remains unclear. Here we show that the interaction between CO2‐rich fluids and magma spontaneously leads to the accumulation of volatile‐rich, low density and gravitationally unstable magma at depth, without the requirement of permeability barriers. CO2‐flushing forces the exsolution of water and the increase of magma viscosity, which proceeds from the bottom of the magma column upward. This rheological configuration unavoidably leads to the progressive thickening of a gas‐rich and low density (i.e., gravitationally unstable) layer at the bottom of the feeding system. Our calculations account for observations, gas monitoring and petrological data; moreover, they provide a basis to trace the approach to deeply triggered large or paroxysmal eruptions and estimate their size from monitoring data. Our model is finally applied to Stromboli volcano, an emblematic example of open conduit volcano, but can be applied to any other open conduit volcano globally and offers a framework to anticipate the occurrence of unexpectedly large eruptions. Plain Language Summary: Open conduit volcanoes erupt with the highest frequency on Earth and release significantly more gas than magma. Their activity is characterized by almost continuous and small explosions that are intercalated by significantly larger explosive events. The relatively continuous explosive activity makes these volcanoes attractive both for scientific research and tourism, however, unexpectedly large explosions pose a significant risk to scientists and tourists. The excess gas these volcanoes release is CO2‐rich and its interaction with magma leads to the accumulation of gas‐rich and low‐density magma at depth, below higher density magma. We suggest that the gravitational destabilization of this deep and gas rich magma is ultimately responsible for the large explosions that punctuate the activity of open conduit volcanoes. The approach to this larger events can be traced with continuous gas monitoring, which therefore provides a unique opportunity to anticipate this otherwise unexpected explosions. Key Points: Continuous CO2 flushing can prime basaltic volcanic systems toward more energetic eruptionsAccumulation of gas‐rich and low‐density magma at depth results from CO2 flushing alone and no ad‐hoc physical barrier is requiredBuild‐up to larger explosions can be monitored through continuous gas monitoring at the surface [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]