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Risk assessment of oil and gas investment environment in countries along the Belt and Road Initiative.

Authors :
Bao-Jun Tang
Chang-Jing Ji
Yu-Xian Zheng
Kang-Ning Liu
Yi-Fei Ma
Jun-Yu Chen
Source :
Petroleum Science (KeAi Communications Co.). Apr2024, Vol. 21 Issue 2, p1429-1443. 15p.
Publication Year :
2024

Abstract

With the implementation of the Belt and Road Initiative, China is deepening its cooperation in oil and gas resources with countries along the Initiative. In order to better mitigate risks and enhance the safety of investments, it is of significant importance to research the oil and gas investment environment in these countries for China's overseas investment macro-layout. This paper proposes an indicator system including 27 indicators from 6 dimensions. On this basis, game theory models combined with global entropy method and analytic hierarchy process are applied to determine the combined weights, and the TOPSIS-GRA model is utilized to assess the risks of oil and gas investment in 76 countries along the Initiative from 2014 to 2021. Finally, the GM (1,1) model is employed to predict risk values for 2022 e2025. In conclusion, oil and gas resources and political factors have the greatest impact on investment environment risk, and 12 countries with greater investment potential are selected through cluster analysis in conjunction with the predicted results. The research findings may provide scientific decisionmaking recommendations for the Chinese government and oil enterprises to strengthen oil and gas investment cooperation with countries along the Belt and Road Initiative. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Details

Language :
English
ISSN :
16725107
Volume :
21
Issue :
2
Database :
Academic Search Index
Journal :
Petroleum Science (KeAi Communications Co.)
Publication Type :
Academic Journal
Accession number :
176819600
Full Text :
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.petsci.2023.10.009