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Cost-optimal seeding strategy during a botanical pandemic in domesticated fields.
- Source :
-
Chaos . Mar2024, Vol. 34 Issue 3, p1-9. 9p. - Publication Year :
- 2024
-
Abstract
- Botanical pandemics cause enormous economic damage and food shortages around the globe. However, since botanical pandemics are here to stay in the short-medium term, domesticated field owners can strategically seed their fields to optimize each session's economic profit. In this work, we propose a novel epidemiological-economic mathematical model that describes the economic profit from a field of plants during a botanical pandemic. We describe the epidemiological dynamics using a spatiotemporal extended susceptible-infected-recovered epidemiological model with a non-linear output economic model. We provide an algorithm to obtain an optimal grid-formed seeding strategy to maximize economic profit, given field and pathogen properties. We show that the recovery and basic infection rates have a similar economic influence. Unintuitively, we show that a larger farm does not promise higher economic profit. Our results demonstrate a significant benefit of using the proposed seeding strategy and shed more light on the dynamics of the botanical pandemic. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Subjects :
- *PANDEMICS
*FOOD shortages
*EPIDEMIOLOGICAL models
*ECONOMIC models
*SEEDS
Subjects
Details
- Language :
- English
- ISSN :
- 10541500
- Volume :
- 34
- Issue :
- 3
- Database :
- Academic Search Index
- Journal :
- Chaos
- Publication Type :
- Academic Journal
- Accession number :
- 176359562
- Full Text :
- https://doi.org/10.1063/5.0192426