Incremental learning-random forest model-based landslide susceptibility analysis: A case of Ganzhou City, China.

Landslide susceptibility mapping (LSM) is a major measure for disaster prevention and control. This paper proposes an incremental learning random forest model that uses random forests for incremental training of landslides. The 1652 landslides in Ganzhou, China from year 2015 to 2020 were divided into three equal parts (T1, T2 and T3) considering time series. And the data of T1 part is used to construct incremental learning random forest model ILRF_1, T2 and T3 part as the new part of incremental training. Landslide susceptibility maps were plotted using ILRF, batch learning random forests (BLRF), batch learning support vector machines (BLSVM), respectively. And the accuracy is verified using the receiver operating curve (ROC). The results showed that the ILRF was the most promising model(AUC = 0.937) for the LSM, followed by BLRF(AUC = 0.905), BLSVM(AUC = 0.865). ILRF has better predictive ability in the susceptibility evaluation of this region. It is very high-prone area accounts for the smallest proportion, mainly concentrated in the mountain front area in the northeast of Ganzhou City. The multi-year average rainfall, population density, and normalized difference vegetation index are the first three important factors that control the spatial possibility of landslides. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]