Vulnerability Assessment of Industrial Sites to Interface Fires and Wildfires.

• Development of a dynamic approach for the assessment of Natech scenarios caused by wildfires. • Vulnerability assessment of industrial sites to thermal radiation from wildfire. • The methodology includes cascading fires following primary Natech scenarios. • The synergistic effect of multiple fires is accounted. • The possible delay of emergency teams on domino effect probability is accounted. In the framework of climate change, the hazard caused by wildfires approaching the anthropic settlements is raising an increasing concern. Fatalities and relevant damage to properties were recently caused by wildfires affecting the Wildland-Urban and Wildland-Industrial Interfaces. Industrial sites storing large quantities of hazardous materials are vulnerable to interface fires, which have the potential to trigger specific cascading events such as Natech scenarios followed by domino effects. The present study aims at providing a methodology for the quantitative assessment of the vulnerability of industrial sites exposed to wildfires. The approach provides a novel framework for the identification and quantification of all the chains of failures that may occur due to wildfires or interface fires approaching industrial sites. The methodology accounts for the thermal radiation from fires in both primary Natech scenarios and cascading scenarios triggered by domino effects. The dynamic features of interface fires and the synergistic effects of multiple fires are also taken into account. The results of a case study demonstrated the importance of considering the dynamic behavior of wildfire, which strongly affects the vulnerability of industrial structures. The results also evidence the importance of emergency management and first response on the overall vulnerability figures. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]