CLASSICAL AND BAYESIAN STOCHASTIC ANALYSIS OF A TWO UNIT PARALLEL SYSTEM WITH WORKING AND REST TIME OF REPAIRMAN.

The aim of the present paper is to deal with the analysis of the classical and Bayesian estimation of various measures of system effectiveness in a two non-identical unit parallel system. Each unit has two possible modes Normal (N) and total failure (F). A single repairman is always available with the system and after working for a random period he goes for rest for a random period. After taking complete rest he again starts the repair of the failed unit on a pre-emptive repeat basis. The system failure occurs when both the units are in (F-mode). The distributions of failure time as well as working and rest time of repairman are assumed to be exponential whereas repair time and rest time distribution of repairman are taken as general. A simulation study is also conducted for analysing the considered system model both in Classical and Bayesian setups. Bayesian estimates of various measure of system effectiveness are also obtained by taking different priors. The comparative study is made to judge the performance of Maximum likelihood estimation and Bayesian estimation methods. A simulation study at the end exhibits the behaviour of such a system. The Monte-Carlo technique is employed to draw observations for this simulation study. To obtain various interesting measure of system effectiveness technique have used the Regenerative point technique, MCMC technique and Gibbs sampler technique. From the graphs and tables we have drawn various important conclusions such that a smaller value of failure rate 1 introduces a larger value of Maximum likelihood estimate and Bayes estimates for fixed value of the parameter of the repairman rest time distribution. Moreso, when the value of the failure rate 1 increases the mean time to system failure and net expected profit are also decreases. To compare the performance of asymptotic confidence interval and highest posterior density interval with the maximum likelihood estimates technique, it has been observed that width of the highest posterior density interval is less than the width of an asymptotic confidence interval. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]