城镇化发展如何影响非正规就业？ ——基于空间杜宾模型的省际面板分析.

Urbanization is the carrier of urban informal economy development and one of the important factors affecting informal employment. This paper adopts the inter-provincial panel data from 2006 to 2017, and uses the adjacent-matrix and geographical distance matrix to con‐ struct the Spatial Durbin Model (SDM), and empirically analyzes the impact of urbanization de‐ velopment on informal employment and its mechanism. It is found that urbanization can signifi‐ cantly promote informal employment through direct effect and spatial spillover effect. Among them, the direct effect mainly through agglomeration effect, space effect and investment effect to directly promote the informal employment in the region. At the same time, the urbanization development of synergies between neighborhood, which makes the regional urbanization devel‐ opment of informal employment has a significant positive spillover effects. Compared with the border region, the spillover effect of geographically close regions is stronger. Further research shows that government competition between provinces plays a strong mediating role in the spa‐ tial spillover effect of urbanization development on informal employment and is an important factor that produces such spatial spillover effect. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]